jeffcat-bucki, on 05 October 2012 - 11:24 PM, said:
Liberty Benton:
Loss to Leipsic(8-2): 9.9 pts
Win vs. Leipsic(9-1): 13.5 pts
Delphos Jefferson:
Win vs. Spencer and Ada(8-2): 14.0 pts
Anything 7-3 eliminates them barring disaster everywhere else.
Spencer:
Win out(8-2): 12.75 pts
Carey:
Loss to Loudon(7-3): 12.3 pts(loss to Seneca East would be less severe)
Win out(8-2): 14.95 pts
Columbia Station:
Loss to Lorain Clearview(8-2): 13.3 pts
Win out: They are in, so I don't care.
I'll work on some others when I get the chance. It's a PITA when you are playing mental pick ems when running hypotheticals. These point totals can swing drastically on just a few upsets. Spencer's point total dropped overnight just based on Lehman losing to Fairbanks which cost Spencer 4.0 2nd level points(or 0.4 points total). Also, Toledo Scott should pick up 5.5 pts for Carey when they beat Woodward(I already factored that into their total), but I have them losing to Waite. MAL games at the end of the year are very interesting and can REALLY shake things up....same for NWC. The Leipsic/McComb game could be big for Liberty Benton if they beat Leipsic. It's going down to the wire.
Considering Liberty had 16.1 last year at 9-1 with only St. Joe winning 4 games and St. Joe will win 8 this year your total of 13.5 at 9-1 is way off. It would be closer to 17.6. With a loss to Leipsic and going 8-2 the total would be closer to 13.8.